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Monday, January 9, 2012

FlowingData - Predicting the future of prediction

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FlowingData

Predicting the future of prediction

Jan 09, 2012 12:35 am  •  Permalink

Tarot cards don't cut it anymore as a predictors. We turn to data for a look to the future:

"We're finally in a position where people volunteer information about their specific activities, often their location, who they're with, what they're doing, how they're feeling about what they're doing, what they're talking about," said Johan Bollen, a professor at the School of Informatics and Computing at Indiana University Bloomington who developed a way to predict the ups and downs of the stock market based on Twitter activity. "We've never had data like that before, at least not at that level of granularity." Bollen added: "Right now it's a gold rush."

Or you could just get yourself a flux capacitor and save yourself some time.

[Boston]




Teamwork and collaboration that built Watson

Jan 08, 2012 01:30 pm  •  Permalink

Team lead, David Ferrucci, recalls the early days of putting together the team that built Watson:

Likewise, the scientists would have to reject an ego-driven perspective and embrace the distributed intelligence that the project demanded. Some were still looking for that silver bullet that they might find all by themselves. But that represented the antithesis of how we would ultimately succeed. We learned to depend on a philosophy that embraced multiple tracks, each contributing relatively small increments to the success of the project.

As I sit here reading about egos within IBM, with the NFL playoffs in front of me, I can't help but smirk.

[New York Times via Simply Statistics]




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